The reality of VR/AR M&A

April 2017

VRAR VC

Despite Facebook’s blockbuster $3 billion Oculus acquisition in 2014, VR/AR has been too early stage for large scale mergers and acquisitions (M&A) so far. But that’s set to change in the next 12 to 18 months, so let’s look at what could drive M&A deals going forward.

Where Digi-Capital’s Augmented/Virtual Reality Report Q1 2017 and deals database tracked $1.5 billion investments in the last 12 months to Q1 2017, there was only $600 million of M&As in the same period. That dynamic of investments outstripping M&As is typical of early stage tech markets, when deal making is all about investment for growth rather than consolidation for dominance or cost.

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After mixed year, mobile AR to drive $108 billion VR/AR market by 2021

January 2017

mobile-ar-photo

(See new Digi-Capital AR/VR Report Q3 2017 and Digi-Capital mobile AR YouTube channel)

“VR will be big, AR will be bigger and take longer.” What sounded revolutionary when we first said it 2 years ago has become accepted wisdom. But now the market has actually launched, we’ve got 12 months of real world performance and major tech players’ strategies emerging. And that’s changed our views on VR/AR growth. A lot. Our new Augmented/Virtual Reality Report 2017 base case is that Mobile AR could become the primary driver of a $108 billion VR/AR market by 2021 (underperform $94 billion, outperform $122 billion) with AR taking the lion’s share of $83 billion and VR $25 billion.

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The reality of VR/AR trial

December 2016

spectacles

If you haven’t heard about VR/AR by now, your desert island must not have wi-fi. But there are millions of folks who know about VR/AR who haven’t seen it yet. User trial is on the critical path for VR/AR to go mass market. So what are the lessons from previous digital platforms about moving mass consumers from awareness to trial?

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